While I'm not typically a fan of pat buchanan, he had some very lucid arguments concerning the bush white house in an interview on NPR (fresh air, terry gross).
He is basically saying there is a looming civil war in the republican party. The "true conservatives" are apparently livid at the policies of the bush administration wrt the war, the deficit, immigration, and a few other issues I can't remember. Basically, they are holding their noses and supporting him, but after the election they will be causing all kinds of troubles for the poor neocons. If bush loses, they will be tearing a bunch of people to shreds. It won't be pretty.